Navy Times ran a story on officer manning in the submarine and surface communies that piqued my interest. Chief of Naval Personnel Vice Adm. Mark Ferguson made this statement to Congress on 19 March:
Though officer retention rates have generally increased, there remain select shortfalls in the control grades,” he wrote, referring to aggregate numbers across all the officer communities. “Commander and lieutenant commander inventories are below requirements; though, for the first time in many years, unrestricted line captain inventory exceeds officer programmed authorizations.
While that may be true across all communities, the outlook for the Surface Navy is still pretty poor. And, according to the most recent community brief to Commanding and Executive Officers, the problem looks like it will take at least a decade to correct. Slides 2 and 20 show the numbers.